Texas vs. Vanderbilt odds, spread, line: 2024 college football picks, Week 9 predictions from proven model

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The No. 25 Vanderbilt Commodores (5-2) will try to extend their stunning three-game winning streak when they host the No. 5 Texas Longhorns (6-1) on Saturday afternoon. Vanderbilt opened its hot streak with an upset over then-No. 1 Alabama before taking down Kentucky and Ball State. Texas was the top-ranked team in the country entering last week, but it fell to then-No. 5 Georgia in a 30-15 final. The Longhorns and Commodores are one of five SEC teams with one loss in conference play, sitting behind Texas A&M and LSU atop the standings. 

Kickoff is set for 4:15 p.m. ET on Saturday at FirstBank Stadium. Texas is favored by 18.5 points in the latest Vanderbilt vs. Texas odds, while the over/under is 53.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Texas vs. Vanderbilt picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 14-7 on all top-rated picks over the past four weeks of this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Texas vs. Vanderbilt. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the Vanderbilt vs. Texas game:

  • Texas vs. Vanderbilt spread: Texas -18.5
  • Texas vs. Vanderbilt over/under: 51.5 points
  • Texas vs. Vanderbilt money line: Texas -1053, Vanderbilt +657
  • Texas vs. Vanderbilt picks: See picks here
  • Texas vs. Vanderbilt  streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why Vanderbilt can cover

Vanderbilt is not coming off its best performance of the season, but its win over Ball State was still enough to get into the top 25 for the first time since the final poll of the 2013 season. Quarterback Diego Pavia threw for 275 yards and a touchdown while rushing for 82 yards and another score. He has led Vanderbilt to three upsets as double-digit underdogs, including two in Nashville. 

Pavia has completed 66.2% of his passes for 1,391 yards, 11 touchdowns and just one interception. He also has 470 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns, while fellow New Mexico State transfer Eli Stowers has 33 catches for 463 yards and two scores. The Commodores have covered the spread in five straight games as underdogs. See which team to pick here. 

Why Texas can cover

Texas fell behind 23-0 in last week’s loss to Georgia, putting the Longhorns in a must-win situation on Saturday. They were able to stage a second-half rally that eventually came up short against the Bulldogs, and they pose major problems for Vanderbilt. Texas ranks first nationally in scoring defense and total defense, led by linebacker Anthony Hill Jr., cornerback Jahdae Barron and edge rusher Barryn Sorrell. 

The Longhorns are an elite offensive team as well, powered by junior quarterback Quinn Ewers. He has 1,101 passing yards and 11 touchdowns this season, while sophomore running back Quintrevion Wisner has 330 rushing yards and two scores. Texas is riding an eight-game road winning streak and has covered the spread in eight of its last 11 games. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Vanderbilt vs. Texas picks

The model has simulated Texas vs. Vanderbilt 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Vanderbilt vs. Texas, and which side of the spread is hitting well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texas vs. Vanderbilt spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that’s up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.

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